Inevitable Episode 213
Episode 213: Alison Smart and Spencer Glendon, Probable Futures
Recorded on June 3, 2022 Published June 21, 2022
Alison Smart
Today’s guests are Alison Smart, Executive Director, and Spencer Glendon, Founder, of Probable Futures.
Probable Futures is an unconventional initiative that brings together leaders across culture, business, technology, and design in collaboration with scientists at the renowned Woodwell Climate Research Center. They’re committed to and guided by their shared set of core principles. Probable Futures offers frameworks, tools, and storytelling to help people understand, prepare for, and choose between the futures that the climate offers us. The online platform currently provides educational materials about the workings of Earth’s systems and climate models as well as local and global projections of heat, cold, and precipitation. All Probable Futures materials are free to anyone in the world.

Spencer has an interesting background in that he spent 18 years as macro analyst, partner, and director of investment research at Wellington Management, an investment management firm with more than a trillion in client assets. He also holds a BS in Industrial Engineering and a PhD in Economics. Prior to helping found Probable Futures, Alison was Vice President for Strategy & Advancement at the Woodwell Climate Research Center (Woodwell), a leading source of climate science that informs policy, decision making, and the urgent action needed to combat climate change.
We discuss the pair’s respective climate journeys, what motivated them to work in this space, and what led them to create Probable Futures. We also talk about how they measure success, what stakeholders they’re serving, and the nature of the climate problem in general, as well as what’s holding us back.
Enjoy the show!
In this episode, we cover
- Alison and Spencer’s respective climate journeys and what led to the creation of Probable Futures
- The visualization and utility of data presented on ProbableFutures.org
- Earlier climate science models and how they resonated (or didn’t) with different audiences
- How Probable Futures measures impact and inspires action
- The nature of the climate problem, some of the barriers holding us back, and what changes could accelerate progress